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The most significant negative natural change was in Bulgaria (-13.1 per 1,000 persons), Latvia (-9.1), Lithuania (-8.7) and Romania (-8.2). The largest fall in population was reported in Italy, which lost over a quarter of a million (-253,100). READ ALSO: Italian class sizes set to shrink as population falls further In Croatia, Greece, Latvia, Romania and Slovakia, the decrease was both by negative natural change and negative net migration.

Of that figure, 1,867,940 were logged in the first four months of 2021, making up 46 percent of the total sum. In Italy, from the start of the epidemic “with evidence of transmission” on February 20th 2020 until April 30th 2021, 4,035,367 positive Covid-19 cases were reported, the health data showed. During the second wave, the curve dropped in the first months of the year and then rose again at the end of February, albeit more moderately than at the peak recorded in Italy at the beginning of September. The epidemic curve shows that the impact of the second wave, in terms of the total number of daily cases reported, is much higher than that of the first wave. The graph shows the trend in the number of Covid-19 cases reported in Italy by date of collection/diagnosis. “Since March 2021, the positive effects of the vaccination campaign, which has prioritised protecting the most fragile population, are beginning to be observed,” stated the report. It added that vaccinations have considerably lowered risk, with a 95 percent reduction starting from the seventh week after the first vaccine shot is administered. “The second ISS report on the impact of Covid-19 vaccination in the Italian population showed a progressive reduction in the risk of SARS-CoV-2 infection, hospitalisation and death,” noted the study. Some 40.5 million vaccinations have been administered in Italy with a total of 13,654,623 people fully vaccinated, making up just over a quarter of the population over 12 years old, the latest government figures show. The below chart from Our World in Data shows Italy’s accelerating vaccination campaign, now ahead of the EU average for the share of people who have received one shot. READ ALSO: Covid-19: Italy aims to vaccinate 80% of the population by end of September

Such tracing activities include identifying if you have come into contact with a person testing positive for Covid through apps such as ‘ Immuni‘. The analysis also put this change down to “increased diagnostic capacity and contact tracing activities that have facilitated the identification of cases among the younger population”, as the study notes that this category is more usually asymptomatic. These decreases are “a sign of how the vaccination campaign, recommendations and prevention measures implemented have been successful in reducing disease transmission in the elderly population,” stated the report. Men have been affected the most, as “the estimated contribution of Covid-19 deaths to overall mortality confirms that the impact is more pronounced in the male gender,” added the report.

The study also revealed a gender imbalance. The drop in deaths in the over 80s compared with March 2021 “explains 70 percent of the drop in total deaths observed between March 2021 and March 2020”, the report showed. The statistics are improving for the older population.Īlso in the analysis of the first four months of 2021, compared to 2020, a further decrease in percentages of infections was recorded in the very elderly population – 80 years and older – and a lowering of the age of reported cases overall. The median age group of confirmed Covid-19 cases in the first 4 months of 2021 decreased to 40-44 years, while for those reported by December 31st 2020 it was 45-49 years. The 0-49 age group now accounts for 58 percent of reported cases compared with 52 percent for the whole of 2020. READ ALSO: Italy’s economic prospects improve as virus numbers fall further